I do have a Google+ account but that is only so I can follow a class group for a subject I am doing. Aside from the people in my class I know only one person who uses Google+ regularly. In my experience it will not be a Facebook killer.
While Myspace was very popular amongst younger people, it never caught on with the older generations, whereas almost everybody seems to have a Facebook today; Myspace never had the sheer numbers that Facebook does. Having said that though, I do not think that Facebook will last forever. There are a large number of early teens that are not interested in Facebook. It seems that beyond the fact that kids don't like the idea that their parents are on Facebook, they are choosing not to participate due to the most complained about aspects of Facebook; inane status updates and people trying to create unnecessary online drama. Regardless of whether another social media site will replace Facebook or not remains to be seen, but I think we are already starting to see the beginning of the end for Facebook.
I personally believe that Twitter will come out even more popular than before. Even though Twitter can have it's share of inane posting, it does not seem to attract the same kind of drama that Facebook often does. Also if you are wanting to post pictures through instagram you don't have to worry about people tagging you, which was a concern voiced in the previously linked article. Twitter also seems a lot safer for people that are worried about their online privacy as less information is divulged in a Twitter profile.
One reason I personally still use Facebook is because it allows me to follow what is happening with movies or bands that I like; Twitter also allows this. For me at least I think Twitter will be the next big thing for social media. Judging from what is happening with Facebook already, I think that will be the same a for a lot of people as well.
My preference for staying in touch with the gossip in the wider world and issues that are developing a life of their own is twitter. I think you are right about the online presence and it will be interesting to see how it unfolds in the next year or so.
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